Before knocking on thousands of doors in her bid to become a county commissioner inCarrie Blumert worked for the Oklahoma City-County Health Department. Now, Blumert, 32, is one of seven female county commissioners in the state and the only woman serving in Oklahoma County.
She got involved in local politics after watching the passion of women around her who believed they could create positive change in their communities. My mom struggled with mental illness and addiction. So I have personal experience of growing up with a mom who isn't receiving any treatment for her illness. But once I had the background in public health and realized my personal experience was a huge factor, it all clicked. I loved working for the health department and getting to know regular people out in the community who just needed a little help learning how to be healthier.
Developing relationships is important. That has influenced how I make decisions now as a commissioner. I want to talk to people about how any decision I make will impact them. This job is a surprise. After the elections, I thought I needed to do something more than just post my opinions on Facebook.
I needed to do something with my time and experiences. My biggest accomplishment so far is the MAPS 4 mental health. That, I think, is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. Knowing five to 10 years from now, that will be a reality? Do not be afraid to speak up. I am frequently in meetings where I am the only woman.
It is very easy and comfortable to not speak up and voice my opinion and experiences because they are different from the people around me.
Log in or subscribe to read and leave comments. Contact Us. Outlook 'Do not be afraid to speak up,' Carrie Blumert advises. By Kayla Branch, Staff writer, kbranch oklahoman. Related to this story Article: Outlook 'Be absolutely, unapologetically yourself,' Amy Potter says Article: Outlook 'No good decisions come out of fear,' Marnie Taylor says Article: Outlook 'Look for the best in others,' Jan Peery says Article: Outlook Attorney inspired to serve inmates by father's incarceration Article: Outlook Gasso hopes impact extends beyond softball field Article: Outlook Council chief of staff wants to remembered for making a difference Article: Outlook 'Treat each relationship with respect,' Jane Sutter says Article: Outlook 'Continue to flow in your power,' Sheri Dickerson says Article: Outlook Urban League leaders find success in helping others Article: Outlook Celebrating the women of Oklahoma Show more.Want to read more by Russell Investments?
While the duration of the virus pandemic is unpredictable, policy stimulus, pent-up demand and a lack of major imbalances argue for a solid upswing when the virus threat clears. The containment measures being taken across the globe to combat the virus will have a large economic impact. Global gross domestic product GDP growth will probably be negative in the first quarter, and will enter the second quarter at risk of contracting further.
It is also possible that stresses in credit markets create a wave of defaults and liquidity issues that cascade across investment markets. Provided the virus is transitory—perhaps contained in the second quarter—the global economy should be poised to rebound in the second half of In the U. Fiscal policy will be important in helping to offset the recession. The upcoming federal elections in November, however, complicate the political calculus around bipartisan agreement on a stimulus package.
A Biden-versus-Trump contest likely would be largely neutral for markets. We believe that the eurozone is likely to experience a deeper recession than the U. We think the region will be one of the main beneficiaries of the rebound in global trade. We see eurozone equities as currently very attractively valued, and we believe the European stock market could be one of the best performers in a recovery. First, the Bank of England has been able to cut interest rates to 0.
Second, the nation has the ability to quickly implement fiscal easing. In China, where the number of COVID cases is on the decline, high-frequency trackers of daily economic activity show that economic activity is resuming. We also believe that government stimulus is coming. In Japan, the COVID disruption has almost certainly pushed the nation's economy into recession, but stimulus measures are underway. Although the Bank of Japan has limited firepower, it has increased its purchases of government bonds, corporate bonds and equities via exchange-traded funds.
The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to follow up its basis-point cut in early March with another similar-sized cut that will take the cash rate to 0. The bank will then probably consider using unconventional policy, such as quantitative easing, for the first time. In Canada, the twin shocks of the COVID outbreak and the collapse in oil prices have complicated what was already a lackluster economic outlook. Economic growth is now at risk of falling below the 1. Equities: Improved value We believe equity value has improved after the large market falls.What time zone is snkrs app
The cycle outlook is supported by the substantial amount of stimulus being implemented, even though our near-term outlook is for recession. The message from our composite sentiment indicator is that investors have panicked and herded into a pessimistic outlook, which supports taking a contrarian view.
The equity markets that have been hardest hit by the COVID crisis should be those that benefit the most from the eventual rebound. Fixed income: Bonds universally expensive. We see government bonds as universally expensive. They may rally further if the COVID crisis escalates further, but are at risk of underperforming once the post-virus recovery is underway. Currencies: Safe-haven rally in U.Important legal information about the email you will be sending.
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All information you provide will be used by Fidelity solely for the purpose of sending the email on your behalf. The subject line of the email you send will be "Fidelity. The resilience of the US consumer will be a key theme for us in Over the past few years, we have seen consumer finance stocks periodically trade in a manner suggesting considerable fear about the next economic downturn, perhaps reflecting investors' "muscle memory" implanted during the Great Recession of —09, when the subprime mortgage crisis and collapse in real estate prices severely depressed consumer spending.
But we also can point to some noteworthy differences between consumers' current financial condition and what it was leading up to the Great Recession.New zealand house wiring diagram diagram base website wiring
In particular, we'll highlight the debt service ratio and the personal savings rate. Looking back to the early s, the US household debt service ratio consumer financial obligations as a fraction of disposable income rose fairly steadily until peaking in Decemberthe start of the Great Recession. As the recession gained traction and the subprime mortgage market imploded, the debt service ratio plummeted—and has trended well below its historical average ever since.
Thus from the standpoint of required debt payments versus disposable income, consumers' financial condition seems less fragile to us than it did prior to the last recession. At the same time, the personal savings rate the percentage of disposable personal income retained after outlays and taxes has been trending broadly higher since its September low. As of latethe savings rate remains above its historical average, meaning that consumers have been setting aside relatively greater resources as a nest egg or for their retirement.
We don't mean to suggest that the consumer is "bulletproof" and would be unhurt by an economic downturn. As always, consumers' well-being depends largely on overall levels of employment, wages, stock prices, and other factors. Moreover, no one can deny that consumer debt is considerably higher than it was five years ago.
Debt from student loans and automotive financing is particularly elevated, and we're watching both elements closely. All in all, we think the data above makes a convincing case that the US consumer is in considerably better financial shape as of late than prior to the Great Recession. We'll add one other consideration: Sincecompanies that lend to consumers have exhibited greater discipline when extending credit.
Yet despite all these positives, the valuations of many consumer finance stocks remain relatively depressed, by our reckoning. We believe this combination of factors could present some attractive investment opportunities in Get a weekly email of our pros' current thinking about financial markets, investing strategies, and personal finance. Please enter a valid first name. John, D'Monte. First name is required. First name can not exceed 30 characters. Please enter a valid last name. Last name is required.
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Read more. Featured tool. The coronavirus pandemic is set to deliver a sharp and deep economic shock. Stringent containment and social distancing policies will bring economic activity to a near standstill, and lead to a sharp contraction in growth for the second quarter. However, provided bold policy actions are taken to bridge households and businesses through the shock, activity should return rapidly with limited permanent economic damage.
This includes drastic public health measures to stem the spread of the infection, as well as coordinated monetary and fiscal policies to prevent disruptions that could cause lasting economic damage. Market volatility has continued and economic growth is now poised to contract in the second quarter.
Our latest episode of the BlackRock Bottom Line shares why we have updated our three investment themes for With economic growth poised for contraction in the second quarter, our experts at the BlackRock Investment Institute have updated their investment themes.
Economic activity is coming to a near standstill because of stringent containment and social distancing policies. But we believe activity should return rapidly with little permanent economic damage — as long as coordinated government and central bank actions help businesses and households through the shock. The sizable policy response is already setting the stage for an eventual — and strong — recovery.
We also believe drastic public health measures are required to stem the outbreak. Recent like market moves have affirmed our preference for U. Treasuries as buffers against stock selloffs. But the sharp drop in Treasury yields also raises the risk of a yield snapback. We favor sticking to benchmarks and rebalancing into the equity decline. Coupon income from bonds is crucial in a yield-starved world.
We still like U. Treasuries over lower-yielding peers for portfolio resilience. We see encouraging signs from major central banks and governments that such a monetary and fiscal response is starting to take shape. The pledged policy response has been swift — and we expect total fiscal stimulus to be similar in size to that of the global financial crisis but compressed into a shorter timeframe.
Recent policies by Australia, Canada and the UK are the type of coordinated monetary and fiscal action that we have flagged a need for in dealing with the next downturn. While the shock is of unknown depth and duration, what we do know is that the containment measures and social distancing mechanically bring economic activity to a halt. The impact on economic activity will likely be sharp — and deep.This update is available for manual download and installation from the Microsoft Download Center.
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A growing number of energy companies are becoming more disciplined stewards of their businesses, reducing capital spending, and lowering expenses. They're more focused on profitability, with many generating positive free cash flow FCF. And they're using that cash in shareholder-friendly endeavors, such as buying back their own stock and increasing their dividend payouts.
There are 2 major reasons. First, the shale technological drilling revolution, which made the US arguably the most productive supplier of crude oil and natural gas across the globe, has reached a new phase in its development. Signs indicate that the race to drill for the sake of simply boosting commodity production—without regard for profitability—has peaked. This has kept commodity prices low, and at levels that have threatened corporate profitability.
Second, energy stocks have been out of favor for the five-year period ending October 31, As a result, more energy companies have shifted attention from production to profitability and shareholder-friendly efforts, even amid historically low crude oil prices. Many energy producers have been increasing their FCF, despite significantly lower crude oil prices.
Recently, the market has tended to reward the stocks of companies generating FCF and returning capital to shareholders, and many remain incredibly cheap.
Outlook 2020: 'Do not be afraid to speak up,' Carrie Blumert advises
Dividend increases indicate that management teams believe FCF is improving and sustainable. Share repurchases indicate that management teams think share prices are attractively valued. Get a weekly email of our pros' current thinking about financial markets, investing strategies, and personal finance. Please enter a valid first name. John, D'Monte.Baking google slides theme
First name is required. First name can not exceed 30 characters. Please enter a valid last name. Last name is required. Last name can not exceed 60 characters. Enter a valid email address.Often criticized for its lack of growth, the index crossed the 17, barrier and hit multiple all-time highs despite lacklustre results from financial, materials and energy stocks.
With many Canadian companies still looking cheap when compared to their American counterparts, and with many market watchers predicting a rotation toward value-oriented stocks, Canadian markets appear to be well-positioned to draw even more attention in the year ahead. With that in mind, the Financial Post asked six banks and investment firms where they thought the TSX would endand ranked them from high to low. We also asked if they saw a recession coming in the year ahead. When growth starts to creep up, Ste-Marie said, so too will energy and materials stocks.
Bond yields would also climb in this scenario, he said, which would result in a steepening yield curve that would boost the fortunes of the Canadian banks. The U. That will push some towards Canada. Is a recession coming in ? Unemployment is still low, wage growth is accelerating and it would be rare for Canada to enter a recession without the U. When they come back to Canada, he expects global investors will target large cap stocks such as Royal Bank of Canada and Suncor Inc.
An energy rally should help matters further. The performance of the Canadian markets in relies heavily on the U. And although he describes the markets as being 24 months into the late stage of the business cycle, he expects the bull market to rage on due to earnings per share growth climbing in both the U.
The biggest risk, one Marion said is being underestimated, is the potential for inflation to make a comeback in and force central banks to revise monetary policy. No, the Canadian economy is on a solid foundation. The growth will also be led by financials, materials and consumer staples outperforming, he wrote. De Verteuil points to the U. No, but corporate profit margins will remain under pressure throughout the year. Although his ultimate target is the same as that of some of his colleagues, Lapointe sees much of that growth occurring before the end ofwhere he projects the index will hit 17, The first few months of the year will demand caution from investors and could derail his thesis.
The Street will expect to see the details of the phase one trade deal in January, he said, a time when Brexit negotiations are likely to occur.2002 ford f350 7 3 diesel fuse panel diagram diagram base
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Visit our community guidelines for more information and details on how to adjust your email settings. Six banks and investment firms gives their thoughts on how the TSX would end Victor Ferreira. Filed under Investing. Outlook Here's where the experts think the TSX will end up one year from now. Kevin Carmichael: Poloz is among the most experienced policy-makers in Ottawa and probably has a better feel for the real economy than anyone else.
Ted Rechtshaffen: For those who can take advantage, commuting the value of a pension could meaningfully improve retirement finances for years to come. Bridging Finance said in an letter to investors Monday that it has gated its funds indefinitely 'to maintain investor value and limit pandemic effects'.
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